Americans will be headed to the polls to cast ballots in the midterm elections. Polling suggests that Democrats will return to power in the House of Representatives. Republicans are favored to hold on to the Senate.

However, political polls have proven less than reliable. There are plenty of people expecting a surprise once the votes are counted.

But there are many policies that wonít change regardless of who holds Congressional power come Wednesday.


For starters, we can count on the continuation of huge deficits. The Treasury Departmentís
most recent estimate is that government borrowing will double in 2018 versus last year. The bureaucracy is going to blow through $1.34 trillion more than this yearís record tax revenue.

That deficit will be the highest since 2010, back when the U.S. economy was mired in deep recession. Today, the IRS stands in high cotton. Imagine what deficit would look like if tax receipts were at recessionary levels and/or Congress was launching a major stimulus program.

The best-case scenario for deficit hawks would be a Republican victory in tomorrowís election (although an argument could be made that a splitting of power between the two chambers would result in somewhat of a stalemate in Washington, possibly meaning less expansion of governmental programs).

Unfortunately, the ďbest caseĒ is not all that good. Big government Republicans are already in control of Congress, and even the Presidentís supporters admit Donald Trump is not conservative when it comes to borrowing and spending.
The deficit is already exploding in size under ďbest caseĒ conditions. That is why forecasters have been calling for trillion dollar deficits as far as the eye can see.

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