PDA

View Full Version : Breakout did occur and the continuation pattern has been confirmed


Katwoman
10th June 2009, 15:04
As many of you know all the TA indicators before the breakout occurred were suggesting that during the breakout from the cup and handle pattern silver would hit $17 but so far we have not been able to get much above $16 and this has made some people here speculate that we have not had a real breakout or that the TA was wrong.

When you consider this rally just moved us from the mid $12s to the mid $15s we are looking at a 25% increase in the price of silver on very short order which is entirely consistent with classic a breakout in a cup and handle continuation pattern even if the predicted target was not met exactly.

Granted we did not hit $17 but we have just witnessed a profound example of a classic continuation pattern in PMs. Believe it or not more good news is on the way for PMs since this confirms a continuation of a bull market we had before the crash and thus that new highs (that is silver prices higher than those achieved before the cup formed are forecasted). Right now the TA and fundamentals remain alined for more bullish behavior in PMs. The big key to the next move is media attention. If the MSM starts reporting that PMs are now close to the pre-crash highs this could start the next phase of the rally which believe it or not could easily move us up well above $17.

Remember when the market is in a continuation pattern this will always have pullbacks and lulls but because the bulls are out of barn they will not be going back in for sometime.

Despite what some people have said silver is not over priced.

Longhaul
10th June 2009, 17:52
Thanks for the report Kat, 25% surely is a substantial gain in a few months indeed. Many folks that I've pointed to silver are now taking notice of it's cork like action lately. While we have not seen the "to the moon" expectations of many here, we have also witnessed the "can't put this fire out" type of power PM's really hold.

As I told my dad recently, gold and silver are NOT going out of business anytime soon and $15 for an ounce of silver is still one of the best deals going with many many realistic situations that could send it skyward for good.

You got to admit, the shake out periods sure scare folks back in their holes, while others come out to collect more rain:).

SeekrBrnEvryMin
10th June 2009, 20:53
Longhaul:

How forceful are right words!

- sometimes attributed to Job of the Old Testament

Katwoman
11th June 2009, 11:52
gold and silver are NOT going out of business anytime soon.

No truer words have ever been spoken

Katwoman
17th September 2009, 03:36
This last move from $14 to $17 is also consistent with the TA and the cup ad handle continuation pattern seen n the gold and silver charts.

This most recent move confirms and continues the breakout that occurred before summer.

The fundamentals have only gotten more bullish since then and the news that gold and silver are "hot" is starting to hit the MSM. This news is what is needed to trigger the major run to safety that will drive the prices of PMs to the record highs long predicted by the bulls.

For better or worse things are about to really interesting.

silverheartbone
29th November 2009, 17:08
I'll check back later for the expected pop. :D

FBRCOLD
30th January 2010, 21:32
I have not posted in a while but I love the insane predictions or can I say guesses. Last year at this time it was the same thing. I told everyone to invest in Ford and in AIG when it was 1.00 a share. I was pretty much chased out of the room. Needless to say I have done very well for myself. My "OPINION" not my surefire "Cup and Handle" is that silver will come back down to about 12-13 by August. I say this because the Dollar (yes FIAT money) will increase in strength. If you look at all the trends (I know we have been spending alot) around the world people are running to our dollar. The latest fiasco with Toyota and Honda is going to force people to buy more American cars because of safety. The stocks for Toyota are going to take a major tumble next quarter because of this. The Euro is getting hurt now also. But the main reason is the PEOPLE of AMERICA are sick of the spending. Politicians are already afraid of this. They will make an effort to decrease the US national Debt to get reelected. It will be a temp move but a move none the less. These are just my thoughts and as I always say you can take my advice or not.

Katwoman
10th February 2010, 07:28
I have not posted in a while but I love the insane predictions or can I say guesses. Last year at this time it was the same thing. I told everyone to invest in Ford and in AIG when it was 1.00 a share. I was pretty much chased out of the room. Needless to say I have done very well for myself. My "OPINION" not my surefire "Cup and Handle" is that silver will come back down to about 12-13 by August. I say this because the Dollar (yes FIAT money) will increase in strength. If you look at all the trends (I know we have been spending alot) around the world people are running to our dollar. The latest fiasco with Toyota and Honda is going to force people to buy more American cars because of safety. The stocks for Toyota are going to take a major tumble next quarter because of this. The Euro is getting hurt now also. But the main reason is the PEOPLE of AMERICA are sick of the spending. Politicians are already afraid of this. They will make an effort to decrease the US national Debt to get reelected. It will be a temp move but a move none the less. These are just my thoughts and as I always say you can take my advice or not.

I made money on Citi last year too and my past posts confirm this but I know you are wrong about the dollar because there simply is no way to significantly reduce the national debt without ending the FED and this will require a new government issued currency and massive inflation which will drive silver prices higher. People also now understand that fiat currency is worthless paper. This blip in the dollar is nothing more than a short-lived dead cat bounce.

DaBrownsRPhat
10th March 2010, 20:17
YAY! Sorry, just so happy I am in the "cool" club now ;)